Kentucky Derby Counterpoints: The Creatures from the Outside Posts!

With the post-position draw for Kentucky Derby 150 just days away, the hand-wringing and hypothesizing about positional advantages and disadvantages will soon grow thicker than Kentucky blue grass in a fertilized field. We at Lazy Bettor Guides would like to provide a metaphorical scythe to chop back all the pretty but obscuring hay. Sweating an […]

RTSS False-Favorite Report, Saturday, April 27, 2024

Friday started off well, with our 4-1 shot Have You Heard taking the Aqueduct opener and Login Required, the 4-5 favorite we labeled as false, finishing out of the money. Dangerous Ride, the 2-1 favorite we identified as false in Aqueduct’s 4th race, also cooperated by finishing out of the money. Alas, we had to […]

RTSS False-Favorite Report, Friday, April 26, 2024

What a weekend! What a month of free Racetrack Super Scout reports! Last week’s RTSS reports delivered 4 winners in 6 races, with 5 of 6 false favs going down to defeat. We’ve now correctly identified false favorites in 13 of the past 15 races we’ve analyzed, and we’ve come up with 6 winners in […]

Kentucky Derby Counterpoints: Are Favorites Less Likely to Win than in Other Races?

The “Kentucky Derby Counterpoints” series statistically challenges common assumptions about America’s most popular horse race. To read all articles in the series, go to and click on the Kentucky Derby tab. You’ll often hear the warning, “It doesn’t make sense to bet the favorite in a 20-horse field.” Maybe that’s accurate in Irish steeplechase […]

RTSS False-Favorite Report, Saturday, April 20, 2024

Friday’s report delivered 2 winners in 3 races and a second-place finisher. All 3 false favorites lost, putting us on an 8 for 9 streak of accurately identifying false favorites. Let’s kick off Saturday’s report with a look at the former Kentucky Derby prep race known as the Illinois Derby, taking place at Hawthorne Race […]

RTSS False-Favorite Report, Friday, April 19, 2024

Last weekend’s RTSS reports produced 2 winners in 6 races, with 5 of 6 false favorites losing. We nailed Encino as our top choice in the Lexington Stakes, giving us 4 winners in the final 6 Kentucky Derby prep races! We’re feeling pretty good about understanding the strengths and weaknesses of this year’s Derby entrants. […]

RTSS False-Favorite Report, Saturday, April 13, 2024

Friday’s report landed 1 winner in 3 races, with 2 of 3 false favorites losing. As mentioned in that report, we picked 3 winners in the past 5 Kentucky Derby prep races. For the third straight year, stakes races for 3-year-olds proved to be our strength. The Lexington Stakes wraps up the spring preps. Our […]