Lazy Bettor Guides False-Favorite Report, Saturday, August 6, 2022

Two big stakes races offer value today: the Whitney Stakes at Saratoga and the West Virginia Derby at Mountaineer. SARATOGA RACE 2. Maiden Claiming $30,000. 7 furlongs. Dirt. False Favorite: #6 Afilada (5-2). Reason: The class drop is negligible, maybe even nonexistent. This filly seldom moves within 5 lengths of the lead at the top […]

Lazy Bettor Guides False-Favorite Report, Friday, May 6, 2022

Looks like we’ll ease into this Kentucky Derby weekend with 3 races to play. As I state in The Punter’s Tale, finding false favorites in stakes races is tricky. Most entrants seem to have good form and lots of accomplishments, so the favorites appear solid when you apply the usual measures. That reality limited the […]

Racetrack Super Scout Figuring Kentucky Derby Horses Out

Lazy Bettor Guides’ Racetrack Super Scout (RTSS) scouts out false favorites every Friday and Saturday. As a bonus we include our analysis of major Kentucky Derby prep races. Using methods detailed in The Lazy Bettor’s Guide to the Kentucky Derby (included with an RTSS subscription), we’ve keyed in on winners of 5 of 6 stakes […]