Lazy Bettor Guides False-Favorite Report, Saturday, August 27, 2022

SARATOGA Among the races for lightly raced 2-year-olds and stakes contests with solid favorites, we found only one favorite we feel confident betting against. It might surprise you that we see Epicenter as the only favorite vulnerable enough to oppose. See our “Bonus Race” analysis of the Travers Stakes that appears after the Gulfstream Park […]

Lazy Bettor Guides False-Favorite Report, Saturday, May 21, 2022

Friday’s Racetrack Super Scout gave us 3 winners in 5 races, with 4 of the 5 false favorites losing. Not a bad job! Two winners came in at 5-1, and one race saw our top 2 choices fill the $52 exacta (for $1). Back to Belmont and Churchill, with an in-depth look at the top […]

2015 Lazy Bettor Kentucky Derby Preview (revisited)

[Editor’s Note: The 2015 Kentucky Derby results were as follows: American Pharoah first, Firing Line second and Dortmund third. Following are excerpts from Roger LeBlanc’s Kentucky Derby Preview originally published at smashwords.com prior to the 2015 Derby.] American Pharoah and Firing Line get little respect [from speed-figure publishers] for popping the springs on the timer. […]

2015 Kentucky Derby Preview: A History Lesson

Don’t know much about history? Welcome to the Lazy Bettor Guides crash course in Kentucky Derby history and a look at how the recent past might shape the immediate future. With top contenders American Pharoah and Carpe Diem bearing names that refer back to ancient Egypt and Rome, the 2015 Derby practically begs you to […]

Racetrack Super Scout Sniffs Out Big Fail by Rich Strike in the Clark

In the Friday’s “RTSS False-Favorite Report,” we wrote at length about the shortcomings of Rich Strike as he faced a small and unaccomplished field in the Grade 1 Clark Stakes at Churchill Downs. Rich Strike ran down to our low expectations for him, and our two alternate bets in the race finished first and second. […]

Lazy Bettor Guides False-Favorite Report, Saturday, November 26, 2022

We hope you enjoyed our complete dismissal of morning-line favorite Rich Strike in the Grade 1 Clark yesterday, as well as the resulting winning exacta! And we trust you cashed on our 2 winners in the 4 races covered! No rest for the wickedly brave. We’re back at Aqueduct and Churchill on Saturday. AQUEDUCT RACE […]

Lazy Bettor Guides False-Favorite Report, Friday, November 25, 2022

For your post-Thanksgiving pleasure, we present the RTSS false favorites for Friday! AQUEDUCT RACE 2. Maiden Claimer $20,000. 1 mile. Dirt. False Favorite: #6 Goodmorning Angel (5-2). Reason: Layoffs, distance switches, surface changes, class drops. Asmussen has been creative with this filly…all to no avail. She has shown almost no hustle, early or late, in […]

Lazy Bettor Guides False-Favorite Report, Saturday, November 12, 2022

Friday was a blast once again! All 3 false favs we identified went down to defeat. (The fourth one was scratched.) In the 4 races covered, we nabbed 2 winners from our recommended plays and a third winner as the only horse remaining on our speed-figure list when one of our top choices was scratched. […]

Lazy Bettor Guides False-Favorite Report, Friday, November 11, 2022

The Racetrack Super Scout (RTSS) flopped last weekend, a disappointing follow-up to the spectacular performance (4 winners in 6 races) we registered two weeks ago. We erase that bad memory with 4 key races for Friday. We haven’t collected stats yet for the final quarter of the year, but the recently introduced “Top Relevant BRIS […]