Lazy Bettor Guides False-Favorite Report, Saturday, May 21, 2022

Friday’s Racetrack Super Scout gave us 3 winners in 5 races, with 4 of the 5 false favorites losing. Not a bad job! Two winners came in at 5-1, and one race saw our top 2 choices fill the $52 exacta (for $1). Back to Belmont and Churchill, with an in-depth look at the top […]

2015 Lazy Bettor Kentucky Derby Preview (revisited)

[Editor’s Note: The 2015 Kentucky Derby results were as follows: American Pharoah first, Firing Line second and Dortmund third. Following are excerpts from Roger LeBlanc’s Kentucky Derby Preview originally published at smashwords.com prior to the 2015 Derby.] American Pharoah and Firing Line get little respect [from speed-figure publishers] for popping the springs on the timer. […]

2015 Kentucky Derby Preview: A History Lesson

Don’t know much about history? Welcome to the Lazy Bettor Guides crash course in Kentucky Derby history and a look at how the recent past might shape the immediate future. With top contenders American Pharoah and Carpe Diem bearing names that refer back to ancient Egypt and Rome, the 2015 Derby practically begs you to […]

Lazy Bettor Guides False-Favorite Report, Saturday, August 6, 2022

Two big stakes races offer value today: the Whitney Stakes at Saratoga and the West Virginia Derby at Mountaineer. SARATOGA RACE 2. Maiden Claiming $30,000. 7 furlongs. Dirt. False Favorite: #6 Afilada (5-2). Reason: The class drop is negligible, maybe even nonexistent. This filly seldom moves within 5 lengths of the lead at the top […]

Lazy Bettor Guides False-Favorite Report, Saturday, July 9, 2022

After posting a positive ROI in the first quarter of operations, our Racetrack Super Scout has struggled at the start of Q2. Today we try to remedy the situation in two ways: Sticking more closely to the BRIS speed figures (per The Punter’s Tale), which we sometimes drift away from in favor of more esoteric […]