2015 Lazy Bettor Kentucky Derby Preview (revisited)

[Editor’s Note: The 2015 Kentucky Derby results were as follows: American Pharoah first, Firing Line second and Dortmund third. Following are excerpts from Roger LeBlanc’s Kentucky Derby Preview originally published at smashwords.com prior to the 2015 Derby.] American Pharoah and Firing Line get little respect [from speed-figure publishers] for popping the springs on the timer. […]

2015 Kentucky Derby Preview: A History Lesson

Don’t know much about history? Welcome to the Lazy Bettor Guides crash course in Kentucky Derby history and a look at how the recent past might shape the immediate future. With top contenders American Pharoah and Carpe Diem bearing names that refer back to ancient Egypt and Rome, the 2015 Derby practically begs you to […]

RTSS False-Favorite Report, Saturday, July 20, 2024

On Friday we hypothesized that horses Chad Brown ships in from Monmouth aren’t likely to measure up to similar-class runners at Saratoga. We took a stand against 2 such runners. Both failed to win, and we picked up the $23 winner in one of those races. With 4 winners in our last 6 races we […]

RTSS False-Favorite Report, Friday, July 19, 2024

We ended last weekend with a BANG! With Saratoga and Emerald Downs on tap, we went 3 for 3 on Saturday. All 3 false favorites lost as predicted, and we nailed the winners in all 3 races. We also picked a winner in the one Emerald Downs race we covered on Friday. That makes us […]

RTSS False-Favorite Report, Saturday, July 13, 2024

We’ll cross fingers and hope weather doesn’t deluge the Saratoga Saturday card. And we’ll give Emerald Downs another day in the RTSS spotlight. SARATOGA RACE 6. State-Bred Allowance N1x. 5.5 Furlongs. Turf (Analysis for turf only). False Favorite: #7 Stolen Future (7-2). Reason: She owns 3 losses at this level, all sprints on turf. With […]

RTSS False-Favorite Report, Friday, July 12, 2024

With lots of foul weather predicted for Saratoga this weekend, we’ll jump off the beaten path to the Pacific Northwest, where Emerald Downs is in full swing. And we’ll continue on with Woodbine. We continue to accurately identify false favs, with our rate rising (again) to 78%. That means favorites defeat us only 22% of […]

RTSS False Favorite Report, Sunday, July 7, 2024

We continued our accuracy in stakes races for 3-year-olds, with a winner and a near-miss second-place effort in the two races yesterday. We now claim 6 winners in the past 9 stakes races for that age group. BELMONT AT AQUEDUCT RACE 1. Claiming $20,000. 7 Furlongs. Dirt. False Favorite: #2 Tempermental (8-5). Reason: He has […]

RTSS False Favorite Report, Saturday, July 6, 2024

It’s mini-Derby Day, with both the Indiana and Iowa derbies running. That’s good news for us, given that stakes races for 3-year-olds has been one of the few bright spots for RTSS so far this year. After nailing the exacta in the Ohio Derby, our record from April through the Triple Crown rose to 5 […]