IVH Video Series: Evangeline Downs Results (Weeks 12-15)

Our “Instant Value Handicapping” video series on YouTube was launched to prove out methods detailed in The Punter’s Tale (A Bettor’s Quest for Racetrack Profits). The book focuses on identifying false favorites. To measure the potential rewards for accurately evaluating favorites, the book also contains a section on choosing alternative bets in those false-favorite races. […]

The LazyBettorUSA 2021 Belmont Stakes Preview

All I Needed to Know About the Belmont I Learned in the Kentucky Derby and Preakness Roger LeBlanc (for LazyBettorUSA.com) Flash back to the 2021 Kentucky Derby: Essential Quality was widely touted as the best 3-year-old and deserving favorite. In my Kentucky Derby Preview (as well as in my video “4 Reasons to Bet Against […]

LazyBettorUSA.com False Favorite Report: Emerald Downs #2 (for June 2, 2021)

We launched the “Instant Value Handicapping” channel on YouTube to prove out methods detailed in The Punter’s Tale (A Bettor’s Quest for Racetrack Profits). Following up on the success of that video series, we offer these False-Favorite Reports. The Punter’s Tale explains how to identify false favorites and select horses to bet against them. With […]

LazyBettorUSA.com False Favorite Report: Emerald Downs #1 (Sample for May 26, 2021)

OVERALL GOALS AND WAGERING STRATEGY We launched the “Instant Value Handicapping” channel on YouTube to prove out methods detailed in The Punter’s Tale (A Bettor’s Quest for Racetrack Profits). Following up on the success of that video series, we offer these False-Favorite Reports. The Punter’s Tale explains how to identify false favorites and select horses […]

Reviewing Week 1 of Saturday “False Favorite Reports”

Week 1 of our False Favorite Reports started with a bang.  Each report rates the morning-line favorite for every race as “Legitimate” or “False.” According to the cumulative stats in The Punter’s Tale (A Bettor’s Quest for Racetrack Profits) and in our “Instant Value Handicapping” video series on YouTube, the “False” category pinpoints favorites likely […]

4 Reasons to Bet Against Essential Quality in the Kentucky Derby

Over the past 10 years the betting favorite in the Kentucky Derby (the horse with the lowest odds) has mostly lived up to expectations. The betting public has been razor sharp in that span, keying on six eventual winners of the race and two second-place runners. This year racing pundits and the betting public are […]

2015 Lazy Bettor Kentucky Derby Preview (revisited)

[Editor’s Note: The 2015 Kentucky Derby results were as follows: American Pharoah first, Firing Line second and Dortmund third.] American Pharoah and Firing Line get little respect [from speed-figure publishers] for popping the springs on the timer. They’re rated inferior to the top two finishers in the Wood Memorial, to the top two in the […]

2021 Arkansas Derby Preview

Will Oaklawn Park Be the Scene for the Return of the Pharoah? On Saturday Bob Baffert’s trainee Concert Tour will go to post as the huge favorite in the Arkansas Derby. He earned that honor with a 4-length victory last time out in the Rebel Stakes. The most impressive aspect of his Rebel win wasn’t […]

Repeatable Patterns Lead To Consistent Profits!

Last week I posted brief comments about the Florida Derby. I warned that the overwhelming (4-5) favorite, Greatest Honour, was unlikely to win. Indeed, Greatest Honour managed to grab only a minor third-place award in that race. Most bettors, as well as Greatest Honour’s trainer Shug McGaughey, assumed the stretchout from 8.5 furlongs to 9 […]

Instant Value Handicapping 10-Week Review

Over a 10-week period from January 23 through March 27, the “Instant Value Handicapping” video series examined races at one thoroughbred racetrack every Saturday. In those races I identified false favorites based on methods in my book The Punter’s Tale (A Bettor’s Quest for Racetrack Profits). The Process Used for Identifying False Favorites We recorded […]