2023 Triple Crown Trail Predict-O-Meter (December 26, 2022 to present)

To illustrate the effectiveness of The Lazy Bettor’s Guide to the Kentucky Derby, we created the Lazy Bettor Guides Triple Crown Trail Predict-O-Meter. It tracks our predictions (appearing primarily in Racetrack Super Scout reports) in 2023 Kentucky Derby preps and other stakes races for 3-year-olds.

Below, we list all 3-year-old stakes races we covered, beginning with the Gun Runner Stakes on December 26, 2022. We’ll update the list throughout the spring.

Be sure to check out our Predict-O-Meter for last year’s Kentucky Derby preps and the Triple Crown races. In the 18 stakes races we analyzed, we caught 8 winners! Another 7 selections finished second. Clearly our approach zeroes in on top-level emerging stars.

To see what measures we use to compile such a sterling record, you can purchase The Lazy Bettor’s Guide to the Kentucky Derby in our Shop. Or you can get an electronic copy for free by purchasing an RTSS subscription!

Here’s the list of our 2023 selections to date (with 3 winners in 5 Kentucky Derby prep races covered):

  • December 26, 2022, Gun Runner Stakes at Fair Grounds: RTSS pick Jace’s Road finished 1st at $2.40-1. “With an inside post and the best demonstrated early speed, this $500,000 yearling trained by Brad Cox owns advantages in key categories. He tops the field in terms of pedigree, connections (Florent Geroux rides) and speed.”
  • January 1, 2023, Smarty Jones Stakes at Oaklawn Park: RTSS pick Victory Formation finished 1st at $.60-1. “Victory Formation won’t be overly pressured early…. With Prat named to ride, Cox is signaling he thinks this runner is a legitimate Derby prospect…. VF should not only survive the mile but absolutely crush it against this field.”
  • January 7, 2023, Jerome Stakes at Aqueduct: RTSS pick Lugan Knight finished 1st at $3.55-1. “His MSW win at Keeneland might’ve been enough for us to back him in this event…. The followup, a third-place finish behind eventual Gun Runner winner Victory Formation, was even more impressive…. He has the speed to lead or rate, and he finishes his sprints more strongly than his rivals here.”
  • January 14, 2023, Pasco Stakes at Tampa Bay Downs: RTSS pick Handsome Playboy finished 4th at $3.50-1. “He finished a game second in the Inaugural Stakes on December 3, a race in which the three top finishers all came back to win their next starts.”
  • January 21, 2023, Lecomte Stakes at Fair Grounds: RTSS pick Confidence Game finished 3rd at $6.10-1. “His winning time in that [Churchill allowance] race was faster than the time for the Grade 2 Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes that took place three races later.”

NOTE: RTSS uses a system of 2-horse bets (marked by asterisks in the list). If one selected horse goes off at 2-1 or lower, that runner becomes a solo bet. All solo bets have no asterisk shown in list.